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    June 22

    6月22日

    上周金价在前期大幅下跌之后基本维持在925-940之间窄幅盘整,连续测试940颈线位未能取得进展,头肩顶的形态目前基本确立,本周金价或将展开较为深幅的下跌,很可能向形态下方一倍的位置890附近移动,期间900为重要多空关口,如果本月能成功下破,则下跌空间将完全打开。具体来分析
     
    目前随着美元的反弹和原油的下跌,加剧了黄金的下跌趋势。而美国参众两院就IMF售金计划达成了一致,同意其抛售403吨黄金储备,不过对该消息市场早已消化殆尽,预计对黄金价格的影响有限。但毕竟数额巨大的黄金流出市场,又适逢短期金价出现下跌态势,继续承压下行是难以避免的。另有来自NYMEX的报告,6月10日-17日黄金投机类多头持仓下降14634份,空头持仓增多3621份,暗示市场多空格局正悄然转变。目前市场焦点聚集在周二凌晨所召开的美联储公开市场委员会做的议息报告和会后声明,届时将对美元的中期走势有较为明朗的判断,黄金短期方向也将逐步明朗。今日预计金价不会有太大波动,上方940压力依然稳固,下方如果突破930后将向本轮下跌低点925挑战。空头在940下方可积极建仓,目标925,突破看到900。
     
     

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